As I am sure everyone is only all too aware, we are deep in
an election season with less than a month to go until votes start being counted
for president. As always, the economy ranks high when people are asked what
they weigh when deciding their vote, so I thought it was worth spending some
space here to go into what a vote for each side could mean in a financial
sense.
One of the biggest accomplishments of President Trump’s time
in office has been the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that gave the country’s tax system
a large overhaul. This largely shows Trump’s financial outlook and how he
prefers to steer the economy. It may be impossible to say that Trump would be
able to extend, or even continue, all the cuts in his original plan if
reelected, as spending has already greatly increased due to the coronavirus
pandemic, with both political parties talking about how further aid will still
be needed.
From the other side, though, Joe Biden has already stated
that he would plan to raise tax rates on the wealthy (those with an adjusted
gross income of more than $400,000). He also has other differences in tax
policy beyond the income tax, looking for increases in other areas, as well. If
you want to get into deeper details on that, click through to this
article from Accounting Today.
On the surface, when only one of two major candidates is
running on increasing taxes, that would not seem to bide too well for Biden.
The Democrats’ nominee, though, got a rather surprising nod from the financial
sector last week, when Goldman Sachs released a note that said if Biden was
elected in a ‘blue wave’ that also resulted in Democratic control on Congress,
it would likely result in faster economic growth as the country recovers from
the pandemic.
This forecast essentially comes down to how that blue wave outcome
would allow the Democrats to push through a large fiscal stimulus package to
help jumpstart the economy. For even as Republicans also currently work toward
something in that area, the packages authored by Democrats promise to be
larger. No matter the final numbers, though, getting anything passed would be a
boon to the country over the current government impasse. And again, if anyone
wants to get deeper into this projection, read this
article from Business Insider.
Beyond that, even if you do not care to get any deeper into
either of these issues, please read other articles about the issues you care
about and read them from multiple sources. We all have instinctual feelings
that we want to be true when it comes to politics and the future we hope it
brings. There are enough people publishing information out there, that a Google
search can uncover an article to back up any of those first-wave feelings. Do
not stop there, though, and keep reading. Find pieces written from a nonbiased
point of view and find pieces written from the opposite point of view. Only
then can we be confident that we are voting in the way we should be, after
having weighed various viewpoints and evidence.
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